Evidence before conclusions. This page answers two questions with data, not assumption: which gate is actually rejecting setups (and is any one of them killing 90%+ of everything, the bar for reconsidering it), and — for setups that WERE rejected — did the market actually punish them, or would they have worked out. Neither section changes any risk gate; both are read-only, research tools.
Diagnostics
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Rejection-reason distribution
deduped by (symbol · timeframe · direction · entry · stop) — a candidate re-evaluated 9 times counts once
Outcome tracking — forward-walked, research only
what price actually did after each candidate was proposed. Never consulted by scoring/risk/paper trading.
Score-component calibration
does each scoring component's fired group out-perform its unearned group? If not, the weight is arbitrary.
Cross-asset correlation
1D returns, Pearson r. |r| ≥ 0.7 means two positions are effectively one position — concentrated, not diversified, risk.